market folly

The last time we checked in with market strategist Jeff Saut in late February, he was putting money to work in stocks, but cautioned that the correction was not yet over. And he was right, as the market fell 4.77% further in the weeks after his prescient call.

This time around, his latest missive is entitled, "Be Conservative, Not Conventional." With a title like that, one can easily guess what the gist of his message is. He quotes the wise value-investing-father Benjamin Graham who wrote, "The essence of investment management is the management of RISKS, not the management of RETURNS. Well-managed portfolios start with this precept."

Saut hints that the recent low in the market on March 16th could be "THE" low for quite some time, but if a re-test were to occur, he'd be a buyer. He also reiterated his call in buying Williams Companies (WMB) when it was trading around $28.70. This stock has been a hedge fund favorite and you can read an in-depth analysis of WMB in our current issue of Hedge Fund Wisdom.

He also cites fondness for Peoples United Financial (PBCT), LINN Energy (LINE), and EV Energy Partners (EVEP).

Overall, the market strategist concludes that, "I think a lot of the price risk has been removed from select stocks and therefore I am not afraid to gradually accumulate favored names."

Embedded below is Jeff Saut's latest market commentary:



You can download a .pdf copy here.

More insight from the strategist can be found in his thoughts on the never-ending market cycle of fear, hope and greed.