market folly

This week market strategist Jeff Saut has penned his latest commentary on how many investors are "wired backwards" and love to buy when the market has headed higher and often dump stocks when the market has declined and offered compelling entry points.

Saut writes,

"The reality is that when you have a 'fell good' environment, the game is usually in the late innings.  As often stated, 'the equity markets do not care about the absolutes of good or bad, but rather are things getting better or worse.  An, things are definitely getting better.  However, in my speaking tour last week most investors don't believe it.  Nor do they believe the stock market has been rising because things are getting better.  Indeed, many of the folks I talked to believe the only thing buoying the stock market has been the Federal Reserve."

Saut actually thinks that the market could see its first meaningful decline of the year this month.  At the same time, he feels the S&P 500 will pass the high from late May by year-end.

Embedded below is Saut's weekly commentary:




You can download a .pdf copy here.


For more from this strategist, head to Saut on characteristics of market breakouts from big bases as well as Saut on the odds of a new secular bull market.