market folly

Next up in our notes from Invest For Kids Chicago 2013 is Jeff Gundlach of DoubleLine Capital.


Jeff Gundlach's Presentation at Invest For Kids Chicago 2013

•    QE with its monumental scale and scope tries to
•    FDR is a parallel to Obama.  Government – federal, state, and local – costs too much…  New Deal
•    FDR inauguration in a banking panic
•    FDR blamed bankers immediately
•    FDR sent congress a record numbers of bills
•    FDR “try something” & the new slogan is “whatever it takes”
•    Record corporate profits – will they catch the attention of the tax man?
•    FDR raised the marginal tax rate to 100% (500,000 equivalent in today’s dollars)
•    Dynamite shack – sounds like quantitative easing
o    For now the dynamite keeps getting stuffed into the plastic shack
•    Synonym for early is wrong
•    Interest rates are low but don’t have to rise in the near term
•    FDR confiscated gold and the Fed now explains things are “the policy”
•    Speculation at the expense of savers
•    US margin debt is borrowing at the purpose of speculation – mirrors S&P 500
•    Currently alarmingly high
•    Lunch atop a skyscraper
•    Amazon with no earnings, Netflix, Tesla
•    Advice: do not get sucked in to QE and remember ocean of liquidity and risk manage accordingly 


Check out the rest of the hedge fund presentations from Invest For Kids Chicago here.