market folly

Next up in our notes from Invest For Kids Chicago 2013 is Rick Rieder of BlackRock.


Rick Rieder's Presentation at Invest For Kids Chicago

•    21 years at Lehman; Fixed income analyst hall of fame
•    Upside value of FI is muted to say the least
•    Talk on convert – fundamental value of significant proportion
•    Investment regime is changing
•    2003 to 2007 – leverage built up
•    2008 to 2013 – Fed saving system
•    Rebooting system back to “2003 or 2004”
•    Growth in the next few years has exogenous for moderate growth for next 2 to 3 years
 •    Expect moderate growth framework for next few years
•    Low rate framework
•    Buying a lot of agency mortgages
•    Can re-lever US balance sheets
•    Cost of equity versus BBB yields is very wide
•    Investors are forcing CEOs to return capital
•    Dividend to CapEx has also growth so ST growth for equity price but LT underinvestment
•    Need for interest income in market yet not enough assets so investors are forced out the rick curve to equities
•    Converts provide upside convexity, income, and the ability to leverage volatility(options are priced cheap due to volatility being held on the Fed’s balance sheet)
•    Likes DR Horton, MGM, and Ford converts
•    Also works in Europe & Asia 


Check out the rest of the hedge fund presentations from Invest For Kids Chicago here.