market folly

David Einhorn is out with Greenlight Capital's first quarter letter to investors.  Greenlight finished Q1 -1.7% net of fees.  While many investors will care more about Einhorn's equity picks, we think the more noteworthy takeaway is the fact that the hedge fund has cut net exposure in half from 30% down to 14% net long.

Greenlight writes, "Bottom up: short candidates are easy to find ... the opportunity set on the long side is quite constrained.  Top-down: Valuations are on the high side and earnings are in a precarious spot."

Einhorn then touches on the Federal Reserve, noting that, "How fast it tightens should be less important than the fact that it will tighten."

As far as individual equity moves go, Greenlight made the following adjustments: started new positions in AerCap (AER), Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI), as well as re-entering General Motors (GM) shares.  They sold Aetna (AET), closed shorts in Safeway (SWY), Freescale Semiconductor (FSL), and Lorillard (LO).  However, they started a new short in Reynolds American (which acquired LO.)

Embedded below is Greenlight Capital's Q1 2015 letter with the thesis on their new investments: